Monday 13 July 2009

German Ruling on the Lisbon Treaty's Constitutionality: Legitimacy and Shared Sovereignty

Interesting days for European Integration...

Ireland sets a date for its referendum (2/10/09), the German Supreme Court ruled on the constitutionality of the Lisbon treaty ( check here for the full but only preliminary version of the ruling. BTW kudos must go to the German Supreme court for publishing its rulings in English as well as in German) and I, for lack of imagination and choice, seem to continue to engulf myself in the economic effects of budget deficits and their implication in the analysis of the credibility of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP). It's fiscal policy analysis with budget deficits, cyclical budget deficits (the potential output version, please...) and their determinants and their effects on Repo rates, flying all over the place.

Here's an interesting article about the German ruling and it's potential consequences. I haven't yet had the opportunity to read the entire ruling and I doubt that I will have the time until September, but based on this article, here's what I its seems to say:

1) That sovereignty rests with the state according to article 23 of the Basic Law

2) That the European Parliament is not a genuine legislature

3) It clearly states what policy areas should not be covered by European Integration, one of which is fiscal policy (ie:fiscal policy is national not European)

I know nothing of Common or Civil Law, much less of the specificities of the German Basic Law, but here's what one can make out.

1) seems to be self evident in explanation, ie: sovereignty rests with the national state because it is said so in the German basic law. The ruling does not specify that all sovereignty rests with nation-states, but only specifically in Germany and as far as stated by article 23 (which for lack of knowledge I will just assume that it is absolute within the boundaries of common sense, ie: as absolute as it is permitted and more or less customary in a developed liberal democracy). This is interesting because all that seems required to change this is to change article 23 of the Basic Law. If it is changed in a manner that ensures that sovereignty can be "pooled" or that recognises European legislative mechanisms as not jeopardising German sovereignty, it shouldn't be much more difficult to solve this problem in the future, than to get the necessary super majority to change the German Basic Law. I don't know why probably because of Munchau's sentence: “Power may be shared, but sovereignty may not", I keep on remembering that sentence I heard about the competing views of the EU. Proponents say that the EU pools resources while opponents claim it uproots sovereignty by sharing it with other nations, and allowing them to have a say in their decisions.

This then brings us to the second point, the EUs lack of legitimacy. I will limit the discussion as the court itself did to input legitimacy, as only that rightly seems to make sense in judicial decisions (however the Chinese would probably like to see this included, at least if they want to legitimise their state on anything else than brutality and raw ability to keep u quiet...). 2) is justified on an interesting basis. One point that keeps on creeping up is the fact that the EU legislative process is not legitimate because of the electoral rule guiding the European Parliament and the assignment of seats. There seems to be a problem of "electoral equality" (II.cc). This is interesting... I've spent the best part of the last 2 years trying to learn about the EU its perks and its problems and I swear to god this never showed up... at least not in any relevant manner. The only time I heard a discussion about it was during the discussion itself of the Lisbon treaty where the Polish president or his brother wanted an electoral rule that accounted for the dead poles of WWII... The courts talk is in exactly thr opposite direction. The other two problems of legitimation are indeed more common. the complainants argue that the Commission is not a representative body, that there is no European political competition and that the commission's monopoly of power to initiate legislation is unconstitutional. I wonder what the court has to say about all this.

I still havent come accross the reason for the different reasons of all policy areas. However it seems plausible that the court goes through all of them individually and at length.

For the decision it really gets interesting only from heading "C", which is about half way through the paper. But again, I'll go through it later.

Finally I must say I do like the mess that it might have created with the SGP and how there might be some problems coming up...

Here's what's interesting: Munchau complains that everybody is cheering that the Lisbon Treaty can be ratified, but nobody realises the constraints that have just been put on future European integration. I believe that this is true, but quite irrelevant for now. The truth is that right now the priority is to get the treaty ratified. It's been 5 years, closer to 6, everyone is fed up with this and its about time to get things moving! We keep on talking about process, not substance, and really process, unless it is corruption, bores people. It's too technical, too confusing. (I just witnessed this today when I tried to explain to a friend the application process for jobs at the EU). Anyway, to go back to the point, European and National officials just want to get this over with. The motto is: "tomorrow, we'll worry about tomorrow". This approach is actually benefitted from this ruling and its meanders. As a matter of fact it helps that someone came along and said: "listen, the EU has problems. It's decision making is not ideal and actually parliaments ought to have a bigger say. Moreover if you want to delegate more powers, to the extent that a delegation of legitimacy will occur, you can't do through the back door. The UK and France won't simply leave one day the UN security council and be replaced by a EU rep due to backstage plotting. If you want the USE (the united states of Europe), you have to do it right. You have to change the constitutions and to properly address issues of where sovereignty lies." Specifically this helps the case of pro-Lisbon in Ireland a lot. Here's a ruling from a pretty pro-European country, saying explicitly that the Lisbon treaty does not delegate power in all those policy areas which spooked the Irish electorate, with images of Irish soldiers fighting and dying for Italy (god forbid), while their one-night-stands were forced by Brussels to abort their unwanted children, and their unwanted children were taught Esperanto in school, so that they could fill up their Esperanto European tax revenue form. According to Cerniglia and Paganni (2007: 12-14), there is a pretty decent match between present delegation of policy areas to the EU and the preference of Europeans for such delegation. Actually, it would seem that there is even some room left for further European integration in defence, humanitarian aid, the environment research and development and foreign policy. But I lose myself... The point here is that this ruling may help the cause of the Lisbon treaty for the reasons that Munchau thought it would hurt European integration. If only the Irish pro-Lisbon side can get properly organised and if their dumb politicians can shut it, we might get a chance to have this thing over and done before David Cameron comes to power and messes it all up for everyone (him included)...

As to the rest, I'm sure that the nation state will be as less fashionable in 25 years as it is today in comparison to 25 years ago...

BTW, another interesting issue for me is the idea repeatedly (6 times) stated of "the will of the people". This is interesting for someone like me who has studied political economy for a while because we get used to talk about majorities and minorities, not "the people" and much less "the will of the people". Obviously I suppose that it is implied in the courts language that "the will of the people" is proxied by "the will of the majority of the people". A Rousseauian reminiscence...

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